More Measurements To Deflate AGW Enthusiasts

Total solar irradiance from 1978 to the present.

Total solar irradiance from 1978 to the present.
Space / Solar Dynamics Observatory

While obtaining the daily solar activity statistics  for my Solar Activity page this morning, I came across the intriguing plot above on the website. Why is it so intriguing? Its fascination derives from the additional damage it does to the theory of Anthropogenic (i.e. man-made) Global Warming, or AGW. Continue Reading…

Even More Lies Progressives Tell To Themselves!

A progressive regarding the world!

A progressive regarding the world. Be careful what you buy from him!
(c) Can Stock Photo / ezumeimages

In my last essay  I was only able to cover two of the major subsidiary lies progressives tell to both themselves and to others. By subsidiary I mean the falsehoods are told to buttress progressives’ ability to uphold their most fundamental offense to the truth, which is: Government actually has the capability to solve or ameliorate all social and economic problems without creating even worse problems. I discussed this fundamental lie in the post The Lies Progressives Tell (Especially To Themselves!). In my last post, More Lies Progressives Tell To Themselves, I debunked two of the supporting lies progressives often trot out in support of their policies. Those untruths were: first, that the ideological opponents of progressives and a large fraction of the American people are racists and fascists; and second, that free-markets encourage increasingly unequal income distribution. In this essay I want to continue the effort by rebutting four more progressive lies.

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New Data Points To Continuing Warming Pause

Cosmic ray intensities from March 2015 to May 2017.

Cosmic ray intensities from March 2015 to May 2017.
Image and Data from

Today  marks  the sixth straight day for which there were absolutely no sunspots on the Sun. So far this year, out of the 135 days that have passed by, 36 days have been without sunspots, 26.7% of the total. Last year, a total of 32 days, or 8.8% were without sunspots. What all this portends is that we are descending into a particularly low solar minimum of the 11 year sunspot cycle, which should arrive sometime in 2019-2020. In turn, what this implies is our current pause in global warming will probably continue — worse luck for the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) enthusiasts!

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CO2 Levels In Air Dangerously Low for Life on Earth

Atmospheric CO2 concentrations and average global temperatures for the past 550 million years on Earth.

Atmospheric CO2 concentrations and average global temperatures for the past 550 million years on Earth.
Carbon dioxide levels from Brener (2001) and temperature from Scotese (2001) sourced from
See also Boucot et al. (2004)
See bottom of post for complete references.
Image Credit: The Consulting Geologist

For the past two weeks or so,  I just have not been able to get away from the subject of global warming. Every time I turn around, I seem to learn yet more reasons why the popular picture of Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is not to be believed. Now I have run across data indicating our current levels of atmospheric CO2 are actually dangerously low for life on Earth.
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Thermodynamic Effects of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Revisited

Varieties of interactions between air and sea

Varieties of interactions between air and sea
Image Credit: NASA Earth Observatory

Apparently,  I did not not explain my thoughts clearly enough in my post Thermodynamic Interactions of the Oceans With the Atmosphere, not to at least one reader anyway. What that essay attempted to do was to demonstrate it was energetically impossible for CO2 in the air to heat ocean water enough to evaporate more water into the air. Adherents of man-caused or Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) have known all along that there is entirely too little atmospheric carbon dioxide (approximately 0.04% of the atmosphere), and that CO2 molecules could absorb only a minuscule portion of the available thermal spectrum, to do the bulk of the atmospheric heating. Instead, they envisioned carbon dioxide as a trigger to a feedback mechanism that would amplify the CO2‘s effect. The modest amounts of CO2 heating would cause increased heat flux into the oceans, raising their temperatures and creating increased water evaporation. The increased water vapor, being a much stronger greenhouse gas, would then strongly heat the atmosphere. That is their theory, anyway.

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Thermodynamic Interactions of the Oceans With the Atmosphere

Cumulus clouds over the Atlantic Ocean

Cumulus clouds over the Atlantic Ocean
Wikimedia Commons / Tiago Fioreze

One fruitful way  of looking at the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) controversy is through the lens of thermodynamics, a field of physics. In one way this is a surprisingly easy approach that can even be made understandable to non-scientists. In particular what is of interest is how heat is passed back and forth between the atmosphere and the oceans. If we do this scrutiny carefully, what we will learn is that it is energetically impossible for all the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere to significantly heat the water in the oceans.  Continue Reading…

What Consensus on Anthropogenic Global Warming?

Dr. Nir Shaviv, Chair of the Racah Institute of Physics of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, giving a talk on global warming at the George Marshall Institute on March 21, 2013.

Dr. Nir Shaviv, Chair of the Racah Institute of Physics of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, giving a talk on global warming at the George Marshall Institute on March 21, 2013.
Screenshot from YouTube video uploaded by the George Marshall Institute.

When I recently wrote  the post Anti-AGW Global Warming Scholarly References, I became aware of how many truly excellent videos of scholarly talks by scientists debunking Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) were available, mostly through YouTube. In addition, besides the scholarly talks, some of these same scientists often gave talks that should be termed “popularizations” to the general public of their views. Finally, there is a set of videos that are involved with the pervasive politics of AGW, which are revealing in their own way. I will embed a sampling of all three types of videos in this post, hoping thereby to accomplish several objectives.

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Anti-AGW Global Warming Scholarly References

AGW mix

Different terrestrial environments involved with or affected by global warming.

Over on my Facebook group  A Divided World Readers, one reader complained I did not give a single scholarly reference to a journal article saying it was impossible for human-emitted CO2 to be responsible for observed global warming. He was quite right. I have given quite a few references, spread over my several essays on global warming, that make the case (I would say proved) mankind is not even a secondary cause for global warming. Tertiary, perhaps, if that. Any natural phenomenon as complicated as the periodic warming and cooling of a planetary atmosphere can not be explained by one, or even a few, journal articles. I am not even convinced we yet know of all the relevant phenomena bearing on global warming.

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The Complexity of Atmospheric Physics

View of the crescent moon through the top of the earth's atmosphere, as seen from the International Space Station.

View of the crescent moon through the top of the earth’s atmosphere, as seen from the International Space Station. The photo was taken over the South China Sea, just south of Macau. The lower atmosphere is blue because blue wavelengths are scattered the most among the visible wavelengths by the atmosphere; redder wavelengths are not scattered as much and do not reach the eye from all directions except in greatly diminished intensities.
Wikimedia Commons / NASA Earth Observatory

Yesterday,  I read of a somewhat old study, born from a collaboration between MIT and  NASA, of which almost nobody in the general public has ever known. What it tells us emphasizes the tremendous complexity of Earth’s atmosphere, and how modest everyone should be in their claims of knowledge about how it works. Those who claim man is the primary cause of global warming because of his CO2 emissions (Anthropogenic Global Warming, or AGW) should be especially modest, given the extreme simplicity of their model of the phenomenon of global warming. Those who support the AGW model like to claim with great certitude that “the science is settled.” Yet, because of the complexity of the planetary atmosphere, it is highly unlikely the science will ever be completely “settled” without many years of additional research.

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Global Warming Teaches Humility

The Hadcrut4 global land and ocean temperature anomaly for 1997 to the present.

The Hadcrut4 global land and ocean temperature anomaly for 1997 to the present. The Hadcrut4 data set is maintained by the Climatic Research Unit of the University of East Anglia. The vertical axis is in units of degrees centigrade.
Watts Up With That? / Climatic Research Unit of the University of East Anglia

Nature, with its often mind-boggling complexity, has a way of teaching us humility from time-to-time when she fails to behave like we expect. She has done it yet again to Anthropogenic Global Warming (man-caused global warming or AGW) believers and skeptics alike with recent temperature data.

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How Is the Weather Like a Country’s Economy?

Hurricane Isabel, a category 5 hurricane, seen from the International Space Station in  September 2003. This deadly storm had many of the same system characteristics in the planet’s weather that a government Keynesian “stimulus” program has on an economy.
Photo Credits: Wikimedia Commons/Image Courtesy of Mike Trenchard, Earth Sciences & Image Analysis Laboratory , Johnson Space Center.

Organized. Deadly. Destructive. Those were major qualitative characteristics of Hurricane Isabel in September 2003, and they are much like some of the qualitative characteristics of a government’s Keynesian “stimulus” program in an economy. In fact, the analogy goes far deeper than mere metaphor, as they are closely related mathematically in their descriptions inside their respective systems: in the planet’s weather system in the one case, and in a country’s economy in the second.

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How to Form Your Personal Ideology

The Thinker at The Gates of Hell.

The Thinker in The Gates of Hell at the Musée Rodin
Wikimedia Commons/Jean-Pierre Dalbéra, Paris, France

The most sacred words any human being can utter are “I believe …”, The more important that belief is, both to the believer and to the world of human beings around him, the more sacred that belief is. A very nontrivial example is the belief of a follower of ISIS in the necessity for jihad against all the non-Muslim world, but particularly against the West. You and I might consider his belief blasphemous, but for him or her, it has the sacredness of a command from Allah. If you read the link on jihad above, you can appreciate the contradictions and conflicts between people who believe many of the same ideas.

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Should Christians Be Stigmatized?

A symbol of hope or a symbol of ignorance?

A symbol of hope or a symbol of ignorance and prejudice?

Christians have a great deal to fear in this world. In the Middle East, they have been marked for genocide by the Islamic state, along with Yazdis and Shiite Muslims. In communist China, Christians face extreme suspicion and persecution, as are other faiths. However, even in the supposedly more tolerant West, they are experiencing growing prejudice in Europe and in the United States.      Continue Reading…

Solar Wind, Cosmic Rays and Clouds: The Determinants of Global Warming

Image of clouds

Average cloud cover is the most important factor in global warming

While global warming alarmists are trying to create a hysteria about Man causing the heat death of the planet, some physicists in Denmark and Israel are adding to the data that Nature — not Man — is the most important determinant of global warming.   Continue Reading…

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